Google
 

Tuesday, February 12, 2008

Mortgage REITs Rise From Ashes

It's hard to believe, but one of the hottest sectors in the market right now is in the center of credit crisis gripping the capital markets. Mortgage REITs, which were all but left for dead in early 2007, have exploded on the scene as the Fed has lowered interest rates and more investors have dared to call a bottom in the lending market.

On Tuesday, business development company bellwether American Capital Strategies (ACAS) decided to throw its hat in the ring, filing a
$400 million IPO for American Capital Agency Corporation, a newly-formed REIT focused on agency-guaranteed residential mortgage backed securities. American Capital's decision to enter the arena is hardly surprising given the 53% year-over-year gain for the stock of established agency mREIT Annaly Capital Management (NLY) and the astonishing 122% year-over-year return by Capstead Mortgage (CMO). Although ACAS has no experience operating a REIT, it does have considerable experience meeting the onerous qualifications of being a BDC and it has hired talented and knowledgeable personnel. With the temporary expansion in conforming loan limits, there may well be a greater supply of agency-backed RMBS available to American Capital.

Meanwhile, the existing agency mREITs are busy exploring new territory themselves. Following the success of Annaly's launch of Chimera Investment Corporation (CIM), which is trading some 25% above its November IPO price of $15, MFA Mortgage (MFA) has also filed its own
$250 million IPO for MFResidential Investments, Inc. (proposed ticker: MFR). Much like Chimera, MFR will focus on investing in investment-grade non-agency RMBS. In the prospectus, MFR's management cites

[c]oncerns about increased mortgage delinquencies, declining home prices and rising unsold home inventory have caused many investors to question the underlying risk and value of mortgage assets across the ratings spectrum. Many traditional mortgage investors have suffered losses in their residential mortgage portfolio, resulting in a decline in the availability of capital to fund the purchase of mortgage assets. These factors have resulted in mortgage assets trading at lower prices and higher yields, creating attractive spread investment opportunities for us.

Hard to believe that just two years ago, MFA was trading at just $6/share, while subprime lender New Century Financial (NEWCQ.PK) was trading north of $38/share. Such is life in the mREIT jungle. It will be interesting to see how this new cycle of mortgage REITs fare.

3 comments:

michael.steininger@usda.gov said...

Patrick, nice article on Mortgage REITs Rise from Ashes. How would I find which REITs specialize in agency backed mortgages?

Thanks,
michael.steininger@usda.gov

Patrick Harden said...

Thanks for reading Michael. Typically, you can read Item 1 (the "Business" section) of a company's 10-K and they will disclose that they invest in mortgage securities guaranteed by Ginnie Mae, Fannie Mae, or Freddie Mac.

However, as a shortcut, the agency mREITs I know of are NLY, MFA, CMO, ANH, BMNM.PK, and NMTR.OB (to an extent).

creditxp said...

Lenders and how we get them to listen!
As many borrowers know from their own experience is that the resistance from
their lender is high and just getting through to the appropriate person is very
difficult. However, when MyRecast is
involved it seems as if the calls start to get answered and the letters are
responded to. On our MyRecast Team we have the best HUD advisors involved, state
wide attorney representation and the BEST sub-prime underwriters to QC / and
audit the original files.
We use powerful laws like the Truth in Lending Act (TILA) and the Real Estate
and Settlement Procedures Act (RESPA) to bring lenders to their knees. So,
naturally, the lenders will be very amicable to working and negotiating with
MyRecast Team for a modification of the note and work out to more
affordable terms to avoid costly
litigation. Not to mention your credit and
how this will affect your ability in the future.
Jackie